Eurobank’s Regional Monthly April 2015

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Dr. Platon Monokroussos,  Chief Market Economist, Deputy General Manager, Eurobank Ergasias S.A

Dr. Platon Monokroussos, Chief Market Economist, Deputy General Manager, Eurobank Ergasias S.A

Regional Economics & Market Strategy Monthly (April 2015)

Lower energy prices & ECB QE driving macro developments in the region 

REGIONAL MACROECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS & OUTLOOK

  • 2015-2016 growth prospects improving
  • Decline of energy prices expected to have multiple benefits for economies in the region
  • Most regional central banks to remain accommodative for the remainder of the year 

REGIONAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS & OUTLOOK

  • CESEE assets rally on ECB asset purchase program
  • CESEE currencies mostly firmer year-to-date; sovereign debt rally favors
  • ECB QE to continue providing support to regional asset markets, but risks linger

COUNTRY FOCUS

  • Bulgaria: Modest fiscal consolidation on the cards, following last year’s deterioration
  • Cyprus: External sector headwinds threatening timid recovery prospects in 2015
  • Romania: Sustained improvement in private consumption spending supports 2015 growth outlook
  • Serbia: Fiscal position on the mend

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COMPILED REGIONAL MONTHLY APRIL 2015

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